Bologna 1909

Bologna 1909

1-0
Thursday, March 12, 2026
17:45
Medium Confidence
Roma

Roma

UEFA Europa League

AI Prediction

Predicted Winner
Bologna 1909 Win
45%

Head-to-Head Statistics

Bologna 1909
3 wins
Draws
2 draws
Roma
1 wins
Total Matches:6
Avg Goals/Game:2.7
H2H Last 5:
WDLLW
Bologna 1909 Last 5:
WWWWW
Roma Last 5:
DWDWL
Last Meeting
2025-08-23
1-0
home_win

AI Analysis

Summary
This match features a Bologna side in scintillating form against a Roma team hampered by injuries. Bologna's impressive five-game winning streak, coupled with their strong defensive record, makes them the favorites, especially playing at home. Roma's recent inconsistency and significant attacking absences could prove to be their undoing. Expect a tightly contested, low-scoring affair, with Bologna's current momentum likely to be the deciding factor.
Reasoning
Bologna enters this clash as one of the most in-form teams in Serie A, riding a wave of five consecutive victories. Their defensive resilience has been particularly noteworthy, with four clean sheets in this period. This solid defensive foundation, combined with an effective counter-attacking strategy, has been key to their success. At home, they have historically performed well against Roma, which should give them an additional psychological edge. Roma, on the other hand, is facing a challenging period. Their form has been patchy, and they are contending with a significant injury crisis that has sidelined several key attacking players, including Paulo Dybala and Evan Ferguson. This will undoubtedly limit their offensive threat and place more pressure on their defense to remain resolute. While they still possess quality in their squad, the absence of their main goal threats will be difficult to overcome against a well-organized Bologna defense. The head-to-head record between these two sides is relatively balanced in recent years, suggesting that this will be a close encounter. However, Bologna's current form and Roma's injury woes tip the scales in favor of the home side. The betting odds also reflect this, with Bologna priced as slight favorites. A low-scoring game is anticipated, given both teams' recent defensive performances and Roma's depleted attack. Therefore, a narrow home victory for Bologna seems to be the most probable outcome.
Detailed Analysis
Bologna enters this clash as one of the most in-form teams in Serie A, riding a wave of five consecutive victories. Their defensive resilience has been particularly noteworthy, with four clean sheets in this period. This solid defensive foundation, combined with an effective counter-attacking strategy, has been key to their success. At home, they have historically performed well against Roma, which should give them an additional psychological edge. Roma, on the other hand, is facing a challenging period. Their form has been patchy, and they are contending with a significant injury crisis that has sidelined several key attacking players, including Paulo Dybala and Evan Ferguson. This will undoubtedly limit their offensive threat and place more pressure on their defense to remain resolute. While they still possess quality in their squad, the absence of their main goal threats will be difficult to overcome against a well-organized Bologna defense. The head-to-head record between these two sides is relatively balanced in recent years, suggesting that this will be a close encounter. However, Bologna's current form and Roma's injury woes tip the scales in favor of the home side. The betting odds also reflect this, with Bologna priced as slight favorites. A low-scoring game is anticipated, given both teams' recent defensive performances and Roma's depleted attack. Therefore, a narrow home victory for Bologna seems to be the most probable outcome.
Bologna 1909

Overview: Bologna 1909 is in exceptional form, as evidenced by their five consecutive wins across all competitions. Their defensive solidity has been a key feature, conceding only one goal in this period while scoring with consistency. They currently sit in a respectable 8th place in Serie A. Their recent head-to-head record against Roma is also favorable, with two wins in the last three encounters at their home ground, the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Tactical Notes: Bologna's tactical approach is built on a foundation of defensive organization and efficient counter-attacks. They are likely to maintain a compact shape, aiming to frustrate Roma's attacking efforts and exploit any opportunities that arise on the break. Their recent run of low-scoring victories highlights their ability to grind out results, and a similar game plan can be expected in this encounter.

Key Players: Jens Odgaard, Remo Freuler, Łukasz Skorupski

Roma

Overview: Roma comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent results, showing inconsistency with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five outings. Currently positioned 5th in Serie A, they have a number of significant injuries to key attacking players, which could impact their offensive capabilities. The head-to-head record against Bologna has been evenly contested in recent times, with both sides sharing victories.

Tactical Notes: Roma's tactical setup will be heavily influenced by their injury situation. They are expected to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on maintaining possession and trying to control the tempo of the game. With their attacking options depleted, they may rely more on set-pieces and moments of individual brilliance to create scoring opportunities. Defensively, they will need to be well-organized to contain Bologna's counter-attacking threat.

Key Players: Lorenzo Pellegrini, Bryan Cristante, Gianluca Mancini

Betting Insights
Value Bets:
  • Bologna to win at 3.3 odds, given their current form and home advantage.
  • Under 2.5 goals at 1.64 odds, as both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring games in recent matches.
Risky Bets:
  • Correct score of 1-0 to Bologna at 7.5 odds, a plausible but specific outcome.
  • A draw at 3.15 odds, as head-to-head encounters have been closely contested.